Thought on SARS-2, Herd Immunity, Why Does a Country “Get Past This”, R-naught
A thought came to me…..the declining exponent of this thing, when only a very small fraction of citizens have it (apparently)…..seems odd.
Herd immunity creates a r-naught that goes below 1 and therefore it does not spread much, certainly does not “go viral”
But classic thinking is that herd immunity requires about 60% of the population to have it.
My initial research using the modified Mike Adams model, gave me at R-naught around 16 or 18
Measles is 12 to 18
I later reduced my R-naught to 14.
The establishment is STILL saying R-naught around 2.4!!!! But clearly they are on a misinformation campaign. They want people confused.
60% of USA is 200M. We will be at peak in 7 to 20 days == R-naught less than 1. Implies 200M cases
So it is like out of 50 people who have this, only 1 shows symptoms?
USA total Tests = 2.3M………………….if only 20% of the suspicious ones are positive, than how can USA be approaching the 200M needed for herd immunity (Rnaught failing below 1)
Total Cases .462M
Something is rotten in Denmark.